Thanks to El Nino, unholy weather is almost a given.

As Pete Hammondnotes, festivals are looming.

The Oscar screening portal is open.

Hurricane Hilary is expected to hit Southern California

Hurricane HilaryNational Weather Service

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That adds one more twist to an already twisty process.

But things arent as complicated as they might have been.

The names and personal identity status of individual stars and filmmakers are no longer required.

WGA West building in Hollywood

More, contenders can skip reporting altogether if they decide toopt outof the Best Picture race.

At this writing, the 96thAcademy Awards remain scheduled for March 10, a fairly normal date.

But striking writers and actors are still on the street (though withMonday picketingscratched by the storm).

Theres also that nasty national mood.

Things are churning and turning all over the place.

Storm warnings are up.

Well be sheltering from the wind, and fighting about heaven knows whatthe legitimacy of BullocksBlind SideOscar?

The John Waters/Drag Queen childrens story hour at the Academy Museum?